WASHINGTON (AP) — Even though polls are sometimes treated as projections, they aren’t designed to tell you who’s likely to win. So even if it looks like Democrat Kamala Harris is down in one poll or Republican Donald Trump is up in another, about all that national polls can tell us right now is that the race is competitive. Tracking shifts in voter intention is hard to do with a survey, and voters’ opinions can change before Election Day. Horse race polls can only capture people’s viewpoints during a single moment in time. Even then, a margin that looks like one that could decide an election might not be a real difference at all.
