Asian stocks got off to an uneven start on Thursday following a weak lead from Wall Street, though better-than-expected manufacturing data from China provided a glimmer of good news for Beijing.
Investors appeared to be in a wait-and-see mood ahead of a coin-toss US election, and after a widely expected decision by the Bank of Japan to leave its main interest rate unchanged.
The three main US stock indices lost ground on Wednesday, while major European markets closed sharply lower as well.
Tokyo followed that lead on Thursday, dragged down by a drop in stocks linked to the semiconductor industry, which also saw a drop on Wall Street.
The Bank of Japan said in an outlook report accompanying its rate decision that there were “high uncertainties surrounding Japan’s economic activities and prices”, though it predicted continued growth and easing inflation in the next two years.
The central bank’s decision to stand pat came after an election that saw the ruling coalition of Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba lose its majority in the lower house for the first time since 2009.
Businesses and economists worry that as concessions to other parties whose support he now needs, Ishiba, 67, will offer tax cuts and higher spending, and go slow on reforms needed to improve Japan’s competitiveness.
Seoul was also well down on Thursday, with Sydney, Wellington and Manila in the red as well.
“Asian equities are inheriting a wobbly baton today as earnings from U.S. tech giants failed to deliver the expected boost,” said Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management. “Wednesday’s session was a clear nod to pre-election de-risking.”
Shanghai and Hong Kong, however, saw healthy gains following a forecast-beating manufacturing report from China.
Factory output expanded this month for the first time since April, official data showed Thursday, rare good news for leaders struggling to boost activity in the world’s second-largest activity.
The country is battling sluggish domestic consumption, a persistent crisis in the property sector and soaring government debt — all of which threaten Beijing’s official growth target of five percent for this year.
“The PMIs have overstated the weakness in China’s economy during the past year,” Julian Evans-Pritchard of Capital Economics said in a note.
“The good news is that, after turning a corner in September, the official surveys point to a further improvement in October, with an acceleration in manufacturing and services activity more than offsetting a further slowdown in construction.”
Jakarta and Bangkok were also up, while Taipei was closed due to a typhoon.
Uncertainty over the outcome of this month’s US elections, meanwhile, drove safe haven gold to a fresh high just shy of $2,790 an ounce on Thursday.
And oil prices continued their rebound in Asian trade, fuelled by good news on demand from the United States, as well as by press reports that OPEC countries are considering postponing an increase in crude supply.
– Key figures around 0330 GMT –
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.4 percent at 39,116.79
Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 0.5 percent at 20,472.29
Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.4 percent at 3,278.04
Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.0851 from $1.0861 on Wednesday
Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.2949 from $1.2969
Dollar/yen: DOWN at 153.05 yen from 153.35 yen
Euro/pound: UP at 83.79 from 83.75 pence
Brent North Sea Crude: UP 0.5 percent at $72.90 per barrel
West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.5 percent at $68.93 per barrel
New York – Dow: DOWN 0.2 percent at 42,141.54 points (close)
London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.7 percent at 8,159.63 (close)
smw/dhc
